![]() ![]() ![]() Imagine you 3bet to 11bb and face a 4bet of 25bb. You could also measure EV as the difference in stacks relative to the start of a hand. However, this is only true if you choose to define folding as 0. One of the most common misconceptions about expected value is that “folding is always 0 EV”. This ties into the concept of over-realizing your equity. But if those worse hands have high implied odds against your hand it may actually be preferable to see them fold. Typically you’d rather have worse hands call you. ![]() Denying equity from worse hands that can outdraw you can be thought of as a form of fold equity. You gain EV from folding worse hands that can outdraw you, however, you also gain EV when worse hands call you. Let’s say you bet top-two on the turn, and your opponent folds a flush draw. The only way to gain from folding your opponent’s 0% hands is if those hands could have bluffed you off your equity later. You don’t gain anything from folding out worse hands (all you’re doing is shifting your “showdown EV” into “fold EV”). This is the simplest example of gaining “Showdown EV”. If you have the nuts on the river, you can only gain EV by making worse hands put in money. You gain from folding hands that could have beaten you. One of the most fundamental aspects of fold EV is this: You cannot gain from folding hands that have no chance of winning against you. ![]()
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